Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.330104 0.383822 0.440429 0.504240 0.573886 0.647324 0.730339
2025-01-05 0.248727 0.321152 0.402471 0.499382 0.610595 0.733163 0.877391
2025-01-12 0.192060 0.274997 0.373922 0.497861 0.646321 0.815962 1.021983
2025-01-19 0.155162 0.245407 0.359275 0.508370 0.693540 0.911444 1.182745
2025-01-26 0.128894 0.224371 0.351328 0.524207 0.745660 1.012692 1.351918
2025-02-02 0.108063 0.206802 0.344854 0.539711 0.796244 1.112144 1.520326
2025-02-09 0.085837 0.182971 0.326493 0.536865 0.821651 1.179741 1.650163
2025-02-16 0.071292 0.168125 0.318535 0.546333 0.862015 1.265815 1.803424
2025-02-23 0.056690 0.150093 0.303411 0.543792 0.885026 1.329111 1.928242
2025-03-02 0.041353 0.126950 0.277271 0.522654 0.880582 1.355356 2.005182
2025-03-09 0.033672 0.116657 0.270282 0.528711 0.913155 1.430041 2.144665
2025-03-16 0.025083 0.101838 0.253620 0.518305 0.921174 1.471276 2.240522
2025-03-23 0.021721 0.098472 0.257045 0.539993 0.976846 1.579036 2.426951
2025-03-30 0.016609 0.088851 0.247779 0.540476 1.001160 1.644260 2.558045
2025-04-06 0.012593 0.080500 0.239713 0.542078 1.026727 1.711284 2.692166
2025-04-13 0.010180 0.075999 0.238623 0.555062 1.069474 1.802630 2.859842
2025-04-20 0.008480 0.073145 0.240486 0.572937 1.119819 1.905097 3.043419
2025-04-27 0.006994 0.070308 0.241975 0.590016 1.169109 2.006579 3.226600
2025-05-04 0.004872 0.063108 0.232795 0.587363 1.187208 2.063641 3.349532
2025-05-11 0.003697 0.059361 0.230923 0.597622 1.225624 2.150072 3.513385
2025-05-18 0.002408 0.053273 0.222488 0.595047 1.243175 2.206327 3.635928
2025-05-25 0.001129 0.044055 0.204372 0.572670 1.227594 2.213622 3.690135
2025-06-01 0.000701 0.040837 0.201373 0.579144 1.259087 2.290076 3.841277